Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

You searched for: label/model validation

Choosing sides not Sides

…and I did a presidential election forecasting model for The Washington Post. The model had only three factors: The change in gross domestic product in the first two quarters of…

House effects

…causes increased employment and the optimal tax on capital income is positive (even if the revnues are then thrown away). The models are very close to standard models (the assumptions…

Quote of the Day Last Thirty Years of Economics

…DSGE with reality is based on doing whatever it takes to make a DSGE model behave like an old Keynesian model (that is fit the data as old Keynesian models