Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

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Interest Rates and the Renminbi Revaluation

…quite substantially. The following table shows the difference between long-term (10-year government bond) interest rates in the US and in several other major developed countries last week. The table suggests…

Keeping an Eye on Interest Rates

…knows if this rise in rates will persist; the bond market’s penchant for keeping long-term rates surprisingly low has continually surprised many economists over the past year or so. But…

Risky Scheme

…to $12 million was missing from the rare-coin kitty, I had similar thoughts. Then, when I saw that the Ohio Bureau of Workers’ Compensation had agreed to turn their long-bond

Greenspan on the Interest Rate Mystery

…for unfunded liabilities by dumping money into long-term bonds. This explanation also seems insufficient: “world demographic trends are hardly news, and recent adjustments to funding shortfalls do not seem large…

Responding to a Revaluation

…It is unclear to me exactly how vulnerable the balance sheets of firms like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and other large players in the bond market, are to a…

The Fed Raises Rates

…Kash Update: The following chart shows the yield on ten year government bonds today (45.0 = 4.50%, etc.). Can you tell when the Fed made its announcement? The bond market…

Inflation’s Comeback?

…economic statistics; the bond market’s rather strong reaction to the January PPI report last week seemed to be considerably exaggerated. A much better gauge of trends in inflation is the…