…very bad economic theory, is the notion that there was some sort of big economic boom at the end of World War 2. Case in point: Tyler Cowen links to…

by Mike Kimel This post appeared in the Presimetrics blog. Presidents, the Tax Burden and Corruption – Explaining Economic Growth One of the topics we cover in Presimetrics is the…

…always prevents war is an equally great illusion.” Economic rationality is an assumption. And it’s an assumption that is only approximately correct if you have a large set of economic…

…in 2022. Policymakers had allowed key economic relief measures to expire that helped families absorb the shock of the pandemic. Native American children have historically been painfully exposed to economic…

…that the new wave of Chinese firms expanding overseas in fact aligns with the trends of global economic development, and that they must make new breakthroughs if they are to…

A multi-level failure of the Summary of Economic Projections (which includes the dot plot) was partly to blame. People came looking for clarity. They got even more uncertainty and the…

by Mike Kimel Four Graphs Looking at Real Economic Growth This post contains four graphs looking at real economic growth, three of which also contain some tax information. The first…

…politicians who are supposed to be looking out for us? “U.S. Economic Confidence Ticks Down as Partisans’ Views Shift,” Gallup Gallup’s January 2025 Economic Confidence Index (ECI) stands at -19,…

…see lower taxes leading to faster economic growth than slower economic growth, but reality is what it is, not what we want it to be. Now, if this is true,…

by Mike Kimel Economic Growth Rates, The President’s Party and the Party that Controls Congress Cross-posted at the Presimetrics blog. This post looks at economic growth rates by President and…