An auspicious sign: the consumer (for now) is back
…risk of a double dip remains as the inventory cycle is laid to rest. Economic momentum is gaining; let’s just hope that policymakers don’t screw it up. Here’s something of…
…risk of a double dip remains as the inventory cycle is laid to rest. Economic momentum is gaining; let’s just hope that policymakers don’t screw it up. Here’s something of…
…of the private credit system is a sure path to stagnation, to a double-dip recession–even to a second Great Depression. To focus obsessively on cutting future deficits is also a…
…the recession following Lehman’s demise is already over and the free market ready to assume its inexorable rise, while others talk of a double dip recession, persisting debt deflation and…
…and production, both priming the pump and moving production forward. This works if (1) the cost is minimal and (2) the production will be saleable (avoid the “double-dip”). Which implies…
…raises rates and plunges the economy into a double-dip recession. And here’s the latest: U.S. consumer prices rose more than forecast in July, indicating Federal Reserve policy makers have reason…
…recovery. Calculated Risk predicts it will be a W, a double dip recession. Others see the traditional V. I suggest we may be in for something worse. No letter the…
…show New Home Sales and the last three consumer recessions (four counting the ’80s double dip). The gray area signifies that the economy was in recession based on the National…
…about 8 to 12 months after the number of housing transactions peak. Here is a look at the last three consumer recessions (four counting the ’80s double dip). The gray…
…results but instead because he, like the public, bought into deficit fears. But the experience of the 1930s’ double-dip depression, along with the current experience here and in Europe, is…
…much warning of the 1981-82 “double dip” recession, which was engineered by Volcker’s aggressive tightening at the Fed. They aren’t designed to be infallible, but rather “necessary but not sufficient.”…