…was concern for a “double dip” at that time, there was no recession. Further, because as I’ve noted since early autumn, initial claims have been getting better, not worse, almost…

…rates have leveled off. Americans are also increasingly dip into rainy-day funds to pay more for necessities, including groceries, housing, education and health care. In fact, Americans are now generally…

…10 % above the national average ever since (with the exception of a dip in the COVID year 2020). As the Minnesota Business Partnership put it in its 2015 Minnesota’s…

…and single family permits declined -0.8%. The dip in total and single family permits in the past two months has taken us back to January 2023 levels, between -20%-25% below…

…includes the metric of “new homes for sale;” and the former has always led the latter. Further, last month I noted that, with only one exception (the 1981 “double-dip” recession),…

…double-dip period, significantly the only other time [a big increase in new entrants into the labor force leading up to a recession] even came close was 1968-69, when the Baby…

…three years after enactment (2018–2020). 20Corporate tax collections have remained relatively flat, despite profits increasing significantly after a dip in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic recession. (see Figure 6) Several…

…tax collections in the first three years after enactment (2018–2020). Corporate tax collections have remained relatively flat, despite profits increasing significantly after a dip in 2020 due to the COVID-19…

…Fed-induced “double dip,” housing permits have not only always turned down before recessions, but also peaked before heavy weight truck sales. The lag time is very variable, but the median…

…the case with the OPEC price hikes of the 1970s, and Paul Volcker’s single-handed ratcheting up of interest rates that caused the 1981 “double dip” recession.  The new Administration is…