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Trade deficit

rdan Calculated Risk reminds us: …U.S. trade deficit, with and without petroleum, through July. The blue line is the total deficit, and the black line is the petroleum deficit, and…

Debunking the White House’s Budget Myths

deficit. Furthermore, the degree to which this relative improvement in the budget picture is “unexpected” is debatable. The following table shows the White House’s forecasts for the budget deficit (in…

Budget Nonsense from the White House

…budget deficit, then they need to make the only comparison that really matters, and one that they have been studiously avoiding: what is today’s budget deficit compared to what it…

Hard versus Soft Landing

…primarily funded by Asian central bank (CB) lending to the US, and is primarily driven by the US government’s budget deficit. The enormous and growing CA deficit can not keep…

The 2005 Current Account Paradox

How big will the US’s current account (CA) deficit be in 2005? The best forecasts of the CA deficit for 2005 are in the neighborhood of $750-$800bn. That would be…

The Causes of the Budget Deficit: A Reckoning In case you missed it yesterday: There seems to be some disagreement about the true cause of the US’s current budget woes….