Relevant and even prescient commentary on news, politics and the economy.

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The Fed Raises Rates

…Kash Update: The following chart shows the yield on ten year government bonds today (45.0 = 4.50%, etc.). Can you tell when the Fed made its announcement? The bond market…

The Downside of Devaluation

…it will have a substantial impact on asset market prices, in particular the bond market. Of course, asset market prices matter to the output markets, too… imagine some of the…

Overreaction

…on its debt. Note that this is not to say that holding US government debt is riskless. I do believe that owners of US government bonds are facing more and…

Buttonwood Pessimism

…markets too. Can the fur and fury be far off? High oil prices, a weakening dollar, troubling signs from the bond markets… all are adding to suspicions of a looming…

…– his remarks continued to reverberate through the bond markets even yesterday as traders tried to figure out what he actually meant. Greenspan reiterated his standpoint on the economy (“recovery…

A Fading Recovery

…be explicitly temporary, to avoid spooking the bond market and driving interest rates higher. The tax cuts would have to be directed toward the middle class, and spending increases would…