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Housing Bubble ?

…one had foreseen today’s circumstances, it would have been clear that housing was not a good investment. If one had been able to say, “In a few years, the unemployment…

What to do about CDO ratings?

…economy. This is not a joke. First assume that the CDS market is transparent with full disclosure and mandatory trading on exchanges. We learn a lot if an investment bank…

Home Buyer Tax Credit Extension

…sales”, and then ended up letting the houses deteriorate and selling them for much less in foreclosure sales. Made worse when we watched the bailout drama unfold, with investment banks…

Deficits Debt and Capital Formation

…perceived to be net wealth) and crowd out investment. In the real world, public debt crowds out investment. This means that when deciding fiscal policy now, we have to forecast…

Medicare and "present value"

…benefits than he paid in taxes over his lifetime. … Alternately, let’s put this in terms of return on investment: the typical worker’s Medicare taxes produce an annual compound return…

More on Romer and Romer 2007

…Romer and Romer is striking. But I find it disturbing: I don’t see why some of the channels they find are as strong as they are–the tremendously strong investment accelerator,…

Social Security In a Time of Recession

investment instrument. Which confusion is compounded by the belief that this ‘investment instrument’ was created in the course of the 1983 Reform as a temporary measure to at least in…